We will define climate change adaptation as the “adjustment in natural or human systems to a new or changing environment that exploits beneficial opportunities or moderates negative effects” (National Research Council 2010). This can be particularly challenging because, "resource managers
are often stymied by complexity and uncertainty in climate-change scenarios, lack of knowledge
about
local
effects, and the absence of readily apparent ways to respond” (Lawler
et al. 2010).
Scenario planning
September 16th we are holding an "orientation and exploration" workshop for whitebark pine in Ashland, Oregon at SOU. We are gathering expert scientists and land managers from National Parks, land management agencies, and universities to identify and rank climatic and environmental drivers of change in whitebark populations and assess their level of critical uncertainty.
Check out the whitebark workshop page for preliminary results!
References
Lawler, J. J., et al. 2010. Resource management in a changing and uncertain climate. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 8:35–43.
National Park Service, 2013. Using Scenarios to Explore Climate Change: A Handbook for Practitioners. National Park Service Climate Change Response Program. Fort Collins, Colorado.
National Research Council. 2010. America’s climate choices: adapting to the impacts of climate change. National Academies Press, Washington, DC.
Scenario planning
- Scenario planning explores and describes characteristics of several plausible futures
- Scenario planning enables managers to consider how to define and meet their desired conditions under new & changing circumstances
- Scenario planning requires that we revisit our management goals and “desired conditions” which frequently these describe our expectations based on historic conditions
- Scenario planning explores and describes characteristics of several plausible futures
- Scenario planning enables managers to consider how to define and meet their desired conditions under changing, and new circumstances
- Scenarios are a tool managers can use to test decisions or develop strategy in context of uncontrollable and uncertain environmental, social, political, economic, or technical factors
- Scenarios prompt managers to consider reactions to climate change in context of realistic allowances and restrictions
- Scenarios allow managers to apply the most current climate change information, explore uncertainties, develop strategies to guard against future risk, and identify indicators that allow us to recognize changes early and to react to future challenges with speed and confidence (National Park Service 2013)
September 16th we are holding an "orientation and exploration" workshop for whitebark pine in Ashland, Oregon at SOU. We are gathering expert scientists and land managers from National Parks, land management agencies, and universities to identify and rank climatic and environmental drivers of change in whitebark populations and assess their level of critical uncertainty.
Check out the whitebark workshop page for preliminary results!
References
Lawler, J. J., et al. 2010. Resource management in a changing and uncertain climate. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 8:35–43.
National Park Service, 2013. Using Scenarios to Explore Climate Change: A Handbook for Practitioners. National Park Service Climate Change Response Program. Fort Collins, Colorado.
National Research Council. 2010. America’s climate choices: adapting to the impacts of climate change. National Academies Press, Washington, DC.